Jonathan M. Winter

Assistant Professor of Geography
Adjunct Assistant Professor of Earth Sciences
Adjunct Associate Research Scientist, Columbia University

Climate is an important driver of human activities at local to global scales.  My research and teaching explore climate prediction and the impacts of climate variability and change on water resources and agriculture.  I have active projects in the following areas: (1) Developing high-resolution future climate scenarios for the Northeast using global and regional climate models, statistically downscaled datasets, and weather generators, (2) Evaluating mid-century water availability for irrigation across the Central Valley of California and its potential effects on crop yields, (3) Analyzing uncertainty in regional climate simulations of the water cycle over the American Midwest, and (4) Modeling and quantifying the agricultural implications of climate extremes, such as droughts, floods, and heat waves, in Central America.

Personal Website
020 Fairchild
HB 6017
Earth Sciences
B.S. SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, 2003
M.S. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2006
P.h.D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2009

Selected Publications

Horton, R.M., E.D. Coffel, J.M. Winter, and D.A. Bader, 2015: Projected changes in extreme temperature events based on the NARCCAP model suite. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 7722-7731.

Winter, J.M., P.J.-F. Yeh, X. Fu, and E.A.B. Eltahir, 2015: Uncertainty in modeled and observed climate change impacts on American Midwest hydrology. Water Resources Research, 51, 3635-3646.

Ruane, A.C., J.M. Winter, S. McDermid, and N.I. Hudson, 2015: “AgMIP Climate Data and Scenarios for Integrated Assessment”, in Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Integrated Crop and Economic Assessments. C. Rosenzweig and D. Hillel, Eds., Imperial College Press.

Guilbert, J., B. Beckage, J.M. Winter, R.M. Horton, T. Perkins, and A. Bomblies, 2014: Impacts of projected climate change over the Lake Champlain Basin in Vermont. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53, 1861-1875.

Rosenzweig, C., J.W. Jones, J.L. Hatfield, A.C. Ruane, K.J. Boote, P. Thorburn, J.M. Antle, G.C. Nelson, C. Porter, S. Janssen, S. Asseng, B. Basso, F. Ewert, D. Wallach, G. Baigorria, and J.M. Winter, 2013: The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP): Protocols and pilot studies. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170, 166-182.

Winter, J.M. and E.A.B. Eltahir, 2012: Modeling the hydroclimatology of the midwestern United States. Part 1: Current climate. Climate Dynamics, 38, 573-593.

Winter, J.M. and E.A.B. Eltahir, 2012: Modeling the hydroclimatology of the midwestern United States. Part 2: Future climate. Climate Dynamics, 38, 595-611.

Winter, J.M. and E.A.B. Eltahir, 2010: The sensitivity of latent heat flux to changes in the radiative forcing: A framework for comparing models and observations. Journal of Climate, 23, 2345-2356.

Winter, J.M., J.S. Pal, and E.A.B. Eltahir, 2009: Coupling of Integrated Biosphere Simulator to Regional Climate Model Version 3. Journal of Climate, 22, 2743-2757.

Pal, J.S., F. Giorgi, X. Bi, N. Elguindi, F. Solmon, X. Gao, S.A. Rauscher, R. Francisco, A. Zakey, J.M. Winter, M. Ashfaq, F.S. Syed, J.L. Bell, N.S. Diffenbaugh, J. Karmacharya, A. Konaré, D. Martinez, R.P. Da Rocha, L.C. Sloan, and A.L. Steiner, 2007: Regional climate modeling for the developing world: The ICTP RegCM3 and RegCNET. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88, 1395-1409.