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Climate is an important driver of human activities at global to local scales. My research and teaching explore climate prediction and the impacts of climate variability and change on human health, water resources, and agriculture. I am particularly interested in the following areas: (1) Drivers of tickborne disease expansion, (2) Future water availability for irrigation and its potential effects on crop yields, (3) High-resolution, application-specific climate projections using global and regional climate models, statistically downscaled datasets, and weather generators, (4) Uncertainty in regional climate model simulations of the water and energy cycles over agricultural areas, (5) Causes and predictability of climate extremes (droughts, floods, heat waves) in the Northeastern United States.
Geography
C.S. Lesk, J.M. Winter, and J.S. Mankin, 2025: Projected runoff declines from plant physiological effects on precipitation. Nature Water, 3, 167–177.
L.E. Price, J.M. Winter, J.D.T. Savage, J.L. Cantoni, D.W. Cozens, M.A. Linske, S.C. Williams, G.M. Dill, A.M. Gardner, S.P. Elias, T.F. Rounsville Jr., R.P. Smith Jr., M.W. Palace, C. Herrick, M.A. Prusinski, P. Casey, E.M. Doncaster, D.I. Wallace, and X. Shi, 2024: Spatial and temporal distribution of Ixodes scapularis and tick-borne pathogens across the northeastern United States. Parasites and Vectors, 17, 481.
N. Teale and J.M. Winter, 2024: The Relationship between Extreme Precipitation and Damaging Floods in the Northeastern United States. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 63, 1035–1047.
C.F. Cockburn, J.M. Winter, E.C. Osterberg, and F.J. Magilligan, 2023: Drivers of future streamflow changes in watersheds across the Northeastern United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 59, 894–912.