Jonathan M. Winter

Associate Professor

Appointments

Associate Professor of Geography

Adjunct Associate Professor of Earth Sciences

Area of Expertise

Climate Variability and Change,

Climate Impacts on Water Resources and Agriculture,

Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling of Global Climate Model Projections,

Prediction and Predictability of Hydroclimate,

Climate and Landuse Effects on Tickborne Disease

Biography

Climate is an important driver of human activities at global to local scales.  My research and teaching explore climate prediction and the impacts of climate variability and change on human health, water resources, and agriculture.  I am particularly interested in the following areas: (1) Drivers of tickborne disease expansion, (2) Future water availability for irrigation and its potential effects on crop yields, (3) High-resolution, application-specific climate projections using global and regional climate models, statistically downscaled datasets, and weather generators, (4) Uncertainty in regional climate model simulations of the water and energy cycles over agricultural areas, (5) Causes and predictability of climate extremes (droughts, floods, heat waves) in the Northeastern United States.

Education

B.S. SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, 2003

M.S. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2006

P.h.D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2010

Publications

C.S. Lesk, J.M. Winter, and J.S. Mankin, 2025: Projected runoff declines from plant physiological effects on precipitation. Nature Water, 3, 167–177.

L.E. Price, J.M. Winter, J.D.T. Savage, J.L. Cantoni, D.W. Cozens, M.A. Linske, S.C. Williams, G.M. Dill, A.M. Gardner, S.P. Elias, T.F. Rounsville Jr., R.P. Smith Jr., M.W. Palace, C. Herrick, M.A. Prusinski, P. Casey, E.M. Doncaster, D.I. Wallace, and X. Shi, 2024: Spatial and temporal distribution of Ixodes scapularis and tick-borne pathogens across the northeastern United States.  Parasites and Vectors, 17, 481.

N. Teale and J.M. Winter, 2024: The Relationship between Extreme Precipitation and Damaging Floods in the Northeastern United States. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 63, 1035–1047.

C.F. Cockburn, J.M. Winter, E.C. Osterberg, and F.J. Magilligan, 2023: Drivers of future streamflow changes in watersheds across the Northeastern United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 59, 894–912.

C. Picard, J.M. Winter, C.F. Cockburn, J. Hanrahan, P.J. Clemins, and B. Beckage, 2023: Twenty-first century increases in total and extreme precipitation across the Northeastern United States.  Climatic Change, 176, 72.

T.F. Partridge, J.M. Winter, A.D. Kendall, B. Basso, L. Pei, D.W. Hyndman, 2023: Irrigation benefits outweigh costs in more US croplands by mid-century. Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 274.

Contact

Jonathan.M.Winter@dartmouth.edu
603-646-6456
Fairchild, Room 015
HB 6017

Departments

Geography

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