Climate is an important driver of human activities at global to local scales. My research and teaching explore climate prediction and the impacts of climate variability and change on water resources and agriculture. I am particularly interested in the following areas: (1) Future water availability for irrigation and its potential effects on crop yields, (2) Development of high-resolution, application-specific climate projections using global and regional climate models, statistically downscaled datasets, and weather generators, (3) Uncertainty in regional climate model simulations of the water and energy cycles over agricultural areas, (4) Causes and predictability of climate extremes (droughts, floods, heat waves), and (5) Implications of climate change for the Northeastern United States.
Coffel, E.D., R.M. Horton, J.M. Winter, and J.S. Mankin, 2019: Nonlinear increases in extreme temperatures paradoxically dampen increases in extreme humid-heat. Environmental Research Letters, 14, 084003.
Clemins, P.J., G. Bucini, J.M. Winter, B. Beckage, E. Towler, A. Betts, R. Cummings, and H.C. Queiroz, 2019: An Analog Approach for Weather Estimation Using Climate Change Projections and Reanalysis Data. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 58, 1763–1777.
Winter, J.M., F. Bowen, J. Chipman, and T.F. Partridge, 2019: Future Extreme Event Vulnerability in the Rural Northeastern United States. Annals of the American Association of Geographers, 109, 1110-1130.
Spera, S.A., J.M. Winter, and J. Chipman, 2018: Evaluation of agricultural land cover representations on regional climate model simulations in the Brazilian Cerrado. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 123, 5163-5176.