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Climate is an important driver of human activities at global to local scales. My research and teaching explore climate prediction and the impacts of climate variability and change on water resources and agriculture. I am particularly interested in the following areas: (1) Future water availability for irrigation and its potential effects on crop yields, (2) Development of high-resolution, application-specific climate projections using global and regional climate models, statistically downscaled datasets, and weather generators, (3) Uncertainty in regional climate model simulations of the water and energy cycles over agricultural areas, (4) Causes and predictability of climate extremes (droughts, floods, heat waves), and (5) Implications of climate change for the Northeastern United States.
Partridge, T.F., J.M. Winter, L. Liu, A.D. Kendall, B. Basso, and D.W. Hyndman, 2019: Mid-20th century warming hole boosts US maize yields. Environmental Research Letters, 14, 114008.
Wallace, D., V. Ratti, A. Kodali, J.M. Winter, M.P. Ayres, J.W. Chipman, C.F. Aoki, E.C. Osterberg, C. Silvanic, T.F. Partridge, and M.J. Webb, 2019: Effect of Rising Temperature on Lyme Disease: Ixodes scapularis Population Dynamics and Borrelia burgdorferi Transmission and Prevalence. Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology, 9817930, 1-15.
Coffel, E.D., R.M. Horton, J.M. Winter, and J.S. Mankin, 2019: Nonlinear increases in extreme temperatures paradoxically dampen increases in extreme humid-heat. Environmental Research Letters, 14, 084003.
Clemins, P.J., G. Bucini, J.M. Winter, B. Beckage, E. Towler, A. Betts, R. Cummings, and H.C. Queiroz, 2019: An Analog Approach for Weather Estimation Using Climate Change Projections and Reanalysis Data. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 58, 1763–1777.