Climate is an important driver of human activities at global to local scales. My research and teaching explore climate prediction and the impacts of climate variability and change on human health, water resources, and agriculture. I am particularly interested in the following areas: (1) Drivers of tickborne disease expansion, (2) Future water availability for irrigation and its potential effects on crop yields, (3) High-resolution, application-specific climate projections using global and regional climate models, statistically downscaled datasets, and weather generators, (4) Uncertainty in regional climate model simulations of the water and energy cycles over agricultural areas, (5) Causes and predictability of climate extremes (droughts, floods, heat waves) in the Northeastern United States.
C.F. Cockburn, J.M. Winter, E.C. Osterberg, and F.J. Magilligan, 2023: Drivers of future streamflow changes in watersheds across the Northeastern United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, in press.
C. Picard, J.M. Winter, C.F. Cockburn, J. Hanrahan, P.J. Clemins, and B. Beckage, 2023: Twenty-first century increases in total and extreme precipitation across the Northeastern United States. Climatic Change, 176, 72.
M. Holthuijzen, B. Beckage, P.J. Clemins, D. Higdon, and J.M. Winter, 2022: Robust bias-correction of precipitation extremes using a novel hybrid empirical quantile mapping method: Advantages of a linear correction for extremes. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 149, 863-882.
A. Zia, A.W. Schroth, J.S. Hecht, P. Isles, P.J. Clemins, S. Turnbull, P. Bitterman, Y. Tsai, I.N. Mohammed, G. Bucini, E.M.B. Doran, C. Koliba, A. Bomblies, B. Beckage, J.M. Winter, E.C. Adair, D.M. Rizzo, W. Gibson, and G. Pinder, 2022: Climate change-legacy phosphorus synergy hinders lake response to aggressive water policy targets, Earth's Future, 10, e2021EF002234.