Mankin's research on climate variability and change is motivated by the risks global warming poses to ecosystems and people. Using both observations and process-based models, his efforts focus on constraining three of the major sources of uncertainty in climate changes, past, present, and future: the chaos innate to the climate system, the complexity of how people and ecosystems induce and respond to climate stress, and how model choices influence model answers. In his previous career, Dr. Mankin worked overseas as an intelligence officer.
Callahan, C. (G) & J. S. Mankin, Persistent effect of El Niño on global economic growth, Science (2023) 10.1126/science.adf2983.
Gottlieb, A. (G) & J. S. Mankin, Snow drought & its impacts: insights from quantifying and sourcing specific uncertainties, The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2023).
Callahan, C. (G), N. J. Dominy, J. M. DeSilva, & J. S. Mankin, Global warming, home runs,
and the future of America's pastime, The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2023)10.1175/BAMS- D-22-0235.1.
Coffel, E. (P), C. Lesk (P), & J. S. Mankin (2022) Earth System Model overestimation of cropland temperatures scales with agricultural intensity, Geophysical Research Letters DOI: 10.1029/2021GL097135.
Associate Editor, Earth's Future, a journal of the American Geophysical Union
Associate Editor, Journal of Climate, a journal of the American Meteorological Society
Member Representative, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
Member, American Meteorological Society Climate Variability & Change Commmittee