Mankin's research on climate variability and change is motivated by the risks global warming poses to ecosystems and people. Using both observations and process-based models, his efforts focus on constraining three of the major sources of uncertainty in climate changes, past, present, and future: the chaos innate to the climate system, the complexity of how people and ecosystems induce and respond to climate stress, and how model choices influence model answers. In his previous career, Dr. Mankin worked overseas as an intelligence officer.
Mankin, J. S., I. Simpson, A. Hoell, R. Fu, J. Lisonbee, A. Sheffield, D. Barrie (2021). NOAA Drought Task Force Report on the 2020–2021 Southwestern U.S. Drought. NOAA Drought Task Force, MAPP, and NIDIS.
Scheff, J., J. S. Mankin, S. Coats, & H. Liu, CO2-plant eects do not account for the gap between dryness indices and projected dryness impacts in CMIP5 or CMIP6, Environmental Research Letters, (2021) 10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fd.
McDermid, S. S., B. I. Cook, M. DeKauwe, J. S. Mankin, J. E. Smerdon, A. P. Williams, R. Seager, M. Puma, I. Aleinov, M. Kelley, L. Nazarenko, Disentangling the regional climate impacts of competing vegetation responses to elevated [CO2], Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, (2021) 10.1029/2020JD034108.
Coffel, E., & J. S. Mankin, Thermal power generation is disadvantaged in a warming world, Environmental Research Letters, (2021) 10.1088/1748-9326/abd4a8.