Justin S. Mankin

|Assistant Professor
Academic Appointments
  • Assistant Professor, Department of Geography

  • Adjunct Assistant Professor, Department of Earth Sciences

  • Affiliate, Graduate Program in Ecology, Evolution, Ecosystems, & Society (EEES)

  • Adjunct Associate Research Scientist, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory

Connect with Us

Mankin's research on climate variability and change is motivated by the risks global warming poses to ecosystems and people. Using both observations and process-based models, his efforts focus on constraining three of the major sources of uncertainty in climate changes, past, present, and future: the chaos innate to the climate system, the complexity of how people and ecosystems induce and respond to climate stress, and how model choices influence model answers. In his previous career, Dr. Mankin worked overseas as an intelligence officer.


113A Fairchild
HB 6017


  • Ph.D. Stanford University
  • M.P.A. Columbia University
  • M.Sc. London School of Economics
  • B.A. Columbia University

Selected Publications

  • Mankin, J. S., F. Lehner, S. Coats, K. McKinnon (2020). The value of initial condition large ensembles to robust adaptation decision-making, Earth's Future10.1029/2020EF001610

  • Callahan, C. (G) & J. S. Mankin (2020). The influence of internal climate variability on projections of synoptically-driven Beijing haze, Geophysical Research Letters10.1029/2020GL088548

  • Cook, B. I., J. S. Mankin, K. M. Marvel, A. P. Williams, J. E. Smerdon, K. J. Anchukaitis (2020). Twenty-first century drought projections from the CMIP6 forcing scenarios, Earth's Future10.1029/2019EF001461

  • Qin, Y., J. T. Abatzoglou, S. Siebert, L. S. Huning, A. AghaKouchak, J. S. Mankin, C. Hong, D. Tong, S. J. Davis, N. D. Mueller (2020). Agricultural vulnerability to changing snowmelt, Nature Climate Change10.1038/s41558-020-0746-8

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