Mankin's research on climate variability and change is motivated by the risks global warming poses to ecosystems and people. Using both observations and process-based models, his efforts focus on constraining three of the major sources of uncertainty in climate changes, past, present, and future: the chaos innate to the climate system, the complexity of how people and ecosystems induce and respond to climate stress, and how model choices influence model answers. In his previous career, Dr. Mankin worked overseas as an intelligence officer.
Coffel, E., R. M. Horton, J. M. Winter, J. S. Mankin, (in press). Nonlinear increases in extreme temperatures paradoxically dampen increases in extreme humid-heat, Environmental Research Letters
Schultz, K. & J. S. Mankin, (2019). Is Temperature Exogenous? The Impact of Civil Conflict on the Instrumental Climate Record in Sub-Saharan Africa, American Journal of Political Science, 10.1111/ajps.12425
Bishop, D. A., A. P. Williams, R. Seager, A. M. Fiore, B. I. Cook, J. S. Mankin, D. Singh, J. E. Smerdon, M. P. Rao, (2019). Investigating the causes of increased 20th-century precipitation over the southeastern United States, Journal of Climate 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0244.1
Mankin, J. S. , R. Seager, J. E. Smerdon, B. I. Cook, A. P. Williams, R. M. Horton, (2018). Blue water tradeoffs with CO2-enriched ecosystems, Geophysical Research Letters 10.1002/2018GL07705